Iea, world energy outlook 2016 global oil demand million barrels per day 23. International energy agency the international energy agency iea, an autonomous agency, was established in november1974. New policy scenarios an overview sciencedirect topics. Comparison of ieo2016 and iea world energy consumption growth rates by. Form povety tr o porsptyeir energy access outlook 2017 world energy outlook special report. There is no single story about the future of global energy and no longterm iea forecast for the energy sector. Energy information administration s eia international energy outlook ieo presents an analysis of longterm world energy markets in sixteen regions through 2050. The rapid deployment and falling costs of clean energy technologies. Impossible becoming possible as clean energy surges. India the subject of an indepth country focus in weo2015 contributes the single. Signs of change in global energy have multi plied in the 12 months since the last world energy outlook weo oil prices fell sharply, with the prices of other fuels moving in. Changes from last edition countries geographical coverage in an effort to enhance timeliness of data for countries beyond the oecd, the iea is pleased to include full coverage of selected emerging economies in this release. The graphics in this presen tation focus on projections through 2040.
The annual energy outlook 2015 aeo2015, prepared by the u. What are the energy choices that will shape africas future, and how. Systematic research has been conducted by relevant international organizations on future energy development in a bid to address climate change issues and the requirements of lowcarbon energy development. This year the international energy agency has built on its work on energy access to produce a groundbreaking and indepth examination of the prospects for, and pathway to, modern energy access for all by 2030. Online not available eea core set of indicators csi eecca core. The share of each fuel in total energy consumption is presented in the form of a percentage. The csis energy and national security program is pleased to host dr. Jul 17, 2006 policy context and targets context description. The igu urges policymakers to set clear strategies and policies that include the role natural gas should play in the transition to a sustainable energy future. Database documentation 2019 first edition international energy agency 1. The international energy agency iea, an autonomous agency, was established in november 1974. Fatih birol, executive director at the international energy agency to present the iea s world energy outlook 2015. The iea is the energy forum for 26 member countries, all from the oecd, to improve the worlds energy supply and to promote reliable databases for energyrelated information.
Any such attempt is doomed to fail the uncertainty surrounding the energy transition is here to stay. Igu reaction to the iea world energy outlook 2015 greater use. Reference case projections in each edition of the ieo are not predictions of what is most likely to happen. The world energy outlook series is a leading source of strategic insight on the future of.
International energy agency, world energy outlook 2017 era of oil is not yet over change in global oil demand by sector if tight oil plateaus 2020s and nonopec production growth as a whole slows, reliance on the middle east grows and the need for largescale oil investment continues, even with electric cars. These are some of the insights touted by the international energy agency iea world energy outlook 2015, published this week. Eia, international energy outlook 2017 6 32% 31% 15% 15% 12% 3% 10% %400 3% 14% 25% 27% 0 100 200 300 500 600 700 2015 2030 electricity losses electricity consumption biofuel coal natural gas petroleum and other liquids world energy consumption by fuel source quadrillion btu world energy consumption by fuel with electricity separated. Eye on the market energy outlook 2017 many rivers to cross. Downloads are a mix of pdf, excel, csv and powerpoint documents. Fastestgrowing form of enduse energy consumption, rising 1. Nov 10, 2015 big questions abound in global energy in 2015. Energy outlook downloads and archive energy economics bp. The international energy agencys iea africa energy outlook a special report in the 2014 world energy outlook series offers a most comprehensive analytical study of energy in africa, specifically in subsaharan africa, the epicentre of the global challenge to overcome energy poverty. Nov 30, 2015 the csis energy and national security program is pleased to host dr. Identifies the investment required in indias generation and grid in order to provide universal, secure and affordable electricity supply.
Iea energy efficiency 2018 and world energy outlook 2018. Global energy outlook 2015 this paper assesses trends in the global energy sector through 2040 by harmonizing multiple projections issued by private, government, and intergovernmental organizations based on methods from global energy outlooks comparison. The negotiations there will be based on national pledges, formally known as intended nationally determined contributions, with the goal of setting the world on a sustainable path. Beneath this positive outlook for renewables, however, there are again conservative assumptions. Database documentation 2019 edition 5 international energy agency flows a new industry sector aggregate manufacturing has been added.
Dec 06, 2016 the international energy agency released its latest world energy outlook on november 16, 2016, and despite including the country pledges to the paris agreement, the outlook does not produce the 2 degree centigrade target that was the goal of the paris meeting. This reflects a shift in economies of nonoecd countries away from energy heavy manufacturing towards lighter industries and services as well as saturation effects in the oecd and some emerging economies. Zhenya liu, in global energy interconnection, 2015. India the subject of an indepth country focus in weo2015 contributes. Ghg emissions outlook from iea european environment agency. The aggregated flow other is removed from the database. Jun 25, 2015 the paper presents data and results from the world energy outlook weo 2014, published by the international energy agency iea. Ieas world energy outlook 2015 special report on energy and. International energy outlook 2018 ieo2018 for center for strategic and international studies. This report could not have been completed without collaboration from the international energy agency iea and, notably, the guidance from tim gould and his colleagues on the world energy outlook team.
Energy efficiency a major factor in the global energy balance is treated in much the same way as conventional fuels. Eia short term energy outlook steo and iea oil market. The value of the outlook is not in trying to predict the future. Energy agencys world energy outlook 2015 with the ieo2016 projections is presented. To accommodate this change, the industry subsectors have been reordered. The projections in this outlook were based on energy balances provided by the iea. The ieo2017 is the first ed ition of this report to include mo del results through 2050, which are available on the ieo page of the eia website. Eias international energy outlook 2017 ieo2017 presents an assessment of longterm world energy markets. The iea sees solar costs falling by around 40% between 2014 and 2040, and onshore wind around 15%. The world is moving towards a crucial climate change meeting in paris in december 2015 cop21. What would it take for this to happen and what would it mean for energy security and for the energy transition. In the efficient world scenario, energy intensity will improve by around 3% per year, a stepup from current levels, resulting in minimal increases in energy demand, despite the global economy doubling.
The projections for the future and quality in the past of the. The iea oil market report was published in mid april, data from the report can be found here the eias steo was published on may 9, 2017 i assume in the chart above that opec crude output is 32 mbd in the last three quarters of 2017. Jan 04, 2016 iea southeast asia energy outlook, from world energy outlook 2015 7,648 views. Energy information administration eia, presents longterm annual projections of energy supply, demand, and prices through 2040. This years energy outlook provides fresh insight into these trends and many more. The international energy agencys annual energy projections. International energy agency the international energy agency iea, an autonomous agency, was established in november 1974. Ieas world energy outlook 2016 includes the paris agreement.
Over the period to 2040, total energy use is projected to grow by almost 40 per cent, while the share of fossil fuels in the energy mix falls. While renewables have begun to make inroads in electricity, they have barely made a dent in transportation, industry and buildinghome energy use. Flow definitions supply flow short name definition production indprod refers to the quantities of fuels extracted or produced, calculated after any operation for removal of inert matter or impurities e. World energy outlook special report 2015 and asia energy outlook 2015. The purpose of producing energy statistics is to use them to monitor changes in energy production and use, inform debate and provide a wider understanding of energy.
Energy and climate change world energy outlook special. Director and senior fellow, energy and national security program, csis. This years topics include renewable energy projections to. For further information energy information administration. To download the entire publication in portable document format pdf. The world energy outlook series is a leading source of strategic insight on the future of energy and energy related emissions, providing detailed scenarios that map out the consequences of different energy policy and investment choices.
The international energy agency commenced its operation in 1974 under the auspices of the organization for economic cooperation and development oecd. By 2040, indias energy demand closes in on that of the united states, even though demand per capita remains 40% below the world average european union united states japan latin america middle east southeast asia africa china india change in energy demand in selected regions, 20142040. Share of energy in total production costs for selected industries energy intensive sectors worldwide account for around onefifth of industrial value added, onequarter of industrial employment and 70% of industrial energy use. The projections for the future and quality in the past of the world energy outlook for solar pv and other renewable energy technologies. Strategies for lowcarbon development after the paris agreement by pierre langlois, p. The world s energy consumption through 2040 increases, on average, for all fuels in the ieo2018. World energy outlook market report series world energy investment special reports country reports policy pathways technology roadmaps energy technology perspectives home. Over a decade ago, most countries joined an international treaty the united nations framework convention on climate change unfccc to begin to consider what can be done to reduce global warming and to cope with whatever temperature increases are inevitable. The annual energy outlook 2015 aeo2015 was prepared by the u. Total electricity consumption outlook from iea european. Overview regional trends oil and gas supply investment fossilfuel subsidies and renewable energy outlook source. Four largescale shifts in the global energy system set the scene for the world energy outlook 2017. Secure member countries access to reliable and ample supplies of all forms of. The international energy agency iea, an autonomous agency, was established in november1974.
World energy outlook 2015 executive summary english version. Fatih birol, chief economist and incoming executive director of the international energy agency iea, to present the iea s world energy outlook 2015 special report on energy and climate change. World energy outlook 2015 national mining association. And the report examines the outlook for brazils energy sector in detail and the implications for the global energy landscape. Energy information administration eia, under the direction of john j. World energy outlook 2015 analysis and key findings. Weo2015 special report, is a natural choice for an indepth study.
Rather the value of the energy outlook is in providing a structure and discipline. It is therefore disappointing that more insights from the report did not translate across to the flagship publication. The csis energy and national security program hosted dr. The annual outlook, weighing in at 700 pages, is one of the most widelyread and universally respected set of energy related forecasts in the world. Iea southeast asia energy outlook, from world energy outlook 2015. Iea world energy outlook 2015, presentation to the press. More than 40 years after the international energy agency iea. The international energy agency iea, an autonomous agency, was.
Some of the nergy sector technology or policy optionse that are. According to the iea world energy outlook, the world s primary energy supply has increased by 58% in 25 years, from about 7. India is set for a period of rapid, sustained growth in energy demand. The world energy outlook series is a leading source of strategic insight on the future of energy and energyrelated emissions, providing detailed scenarios that map out the consequences of different energy policy and investment choices. Further, in spite of the recent worldwide thrust provided to the renewable sector, international energy agencys iea 2014 world economic outlook for 2040 projects that oil and gas will remain the single. World electricity demand in the reference scenario is projected to grow at an annual rate of 3. Energy markets and security international energy agency kuala lumpur, 8. India is set to contribute more than any other country to the projected rise in global. Explores how major new policy initiatives, from 24x7 power for all to the make in india campaign, affect indias energy outlook. World energy outlook 2019 explores these widening fractures in detail. World energy outlook 2015 special briefing use of inefficient coalfired power plants, methane emissions from oil and gas lowering production, fossilfuel subsidy reform or carbon pricing, are reflected in the indcs of just a handful of countries. India energy outlook world energy outlook special report.
Iea world energy outlook 2011, ecofys international comparison of fossil power efficiency and co2 intensity 2012 change in efficiency across the ages gross thermal efficiency %, hhv efficiency degradation coalfired thermal power generation in takasago, japan maintenance of efficiency by appropriate operation. The iea carries out a comprehensive programme of energy cooperation among. This document contains the report of the iea bioenergy executive committee for 2015. The world energy outlook 2015 weo2015 will present updated projections for the evolution of the global energy system to 2040, based on the latest data and market developments, as well as detailed insights on the prospects for fossil fuels, renewables, the power sector and energy efficiency and analysis on trends in co2. This years edition updates the outlooks for all fuels. The world energy outlook series is a leading source of strategic insight on the future of energy and energy related emissions, providing detailed scenarios that map out the consequences of different energy policy and investment choices this years edition updates the outlooks for all fuels, technologies and regions, based on the latest market data, policy initiatives and cost trends. Most of the worlds energy growth will occur in countries outside of the organization for. For detailed discussion see the weo2015 publications on iea web site. World energy outlook 2011 international energy forum ief. The iea is the energy forum for 26 member countries, all from the oecd, to improve the world s energy supply and to promote reliable databases for energy related information. India energy outlook world energy outlook special report 2015. World energy outlook annex a tables for scenario projections.
Developing countries and energy efficiency potential. Total energy consumption outlook from iea european. In the international energy outlook 2017 ieo2017 reference case, total world energy consumption rises from 575 quadrillion british thermal units btu in 2015 to 736 quadrillion btu in 2040, an increase of 28%. Database documentation 2019 first edition international energy agency this document provides information regarding the 2019 first edition of the iea world energy statistics database for oecd and selected emerging economies the final edition will contain global data. Newell, yifei qian, and daniel raimi nber working paper no. Energy access outlook 2017 international energy agency. The world energy outlook 2018 examines future patterns of a changing global energy system at a time of increasing uncertainties and finds that major transformations are underway for the global energy sector, from growing electrification to the expansion of renewables, upheavals in oil production and globalisation of natural gas markets. For more information, and the free download of this report, please visit. Nov 10, 2015 offering a clear sign that an energy transition is underway, renewable energy comprised nearly half of the world s power generation capacity in 2014 and is already the secondlargest electricity source on the planet after coal, according to a new report published tuesday by the international energy agency iea. For detailed discussion see the weo 2015 publications on iea web site download our latest energy data brief download our onepage pdf full of live links to energy related data, statistics, and dashboards from leading industry sources to support research and databased decision making. This comprehensive analysis assesses the multiple challenges and opportunities facing india as it develops the resources and infrastructure to meet its energy needs. Iea bioenergy annual report 2015 under the iea framework for international energy technology cooperation the executive committee of each implementing agreement must produce an annual report for iea headquarters.55 933 8 474 39 14 320 1130 925 1341 1599 1157 1150 1178 344 311 29 304 592 1423 1315 1301 866 1278 1216 1288 869 426 843 839 371 574